Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.624590 0.698358 0.778305 0.871538 0.977472 1.094314 1.233249
2025-02-16 0.511397 0.612351 0.730456 0.879487 1.063448 1.284268 1.571171
2025-02-23 0.453318 0.567334 0.707512 0.893832 1.136920 1.445956 1.872790
2025-03-02 0.396981 0.514532 0.664886 0.873265 1.157657 1.536668 2.087473
2025-03-09 0.366945 0.490535 0.654256 0.889809 1.224624 1.690426 2.399833
2025-03-16 0.334104 0.458595 0.628548 0.881109 1.253043 1.790405 2.643540
2025-03-23 0.311768 0.438498 0.616395 0.888853 1.303653 1.924739 2.950697
2025-03-30 0.286959 0.412356 0.592765 0.876571 1.321684 2.009933 3.188524
2025-04-06 0.267281 0.391854 0.575253 0.871138 1.348454 2.109483 3.458607
2025-04-13 0.242132 0.361085 0.539686 0.834131 1.320796 2.117632 3.573571
2025-04-20 0.230807 0.350504 0.534033 0.843714 1.369145 2.254635 3.926865
2025-04-27 0.220836 0.341195 0.529462 0.854272 1.419432 2.398817 4.308811
2025-05-04 0.210119 0.330167 0.521667 0.859379 1.461850 2.535352 4.697620
2025-05-11 0.199916 0.319263 0.513269 0.862720 1.501433 2.670842 5.102255
2025-05-18 0.192745 0.312793 0.511628 0.877428 1.562484 2.851576 5.619664
2025-05-25 0.180083 0.296172 0.491474 0.857187 1.556228 2.902437 5.873537
2025-06-01 0.174548 0.291374 0.491379 0.873405 1.620654 3.097939 6.461873
2025-06-08 0.165530 0.279890 0.478645 0.864882 1.635692 3.194949 6.844723
2025-06-15 0.159640 0.273543 0.474629 0.872466 1.683286 3.363549 7.412846
2025-06-22 0.151366 0.262389 0.461088 0.860437 1.689530 3.444726 7.785670
2025-06-29 0.144614 0.253606 0.451353 0.855116 1.709143 3.556605 8.247883
2025-07-06 0.134273 0.237609 0.427113 0.818869 1.659747 3.510090 8.308192
2025-07-13 0.130433 0.233552 0.425321 0.828256 1.709982 3.694460 8.985577